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Crypto Writer
Arslan Butt
Crypto Writer
Arslan Butt
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As the 2024 U.S. presidential election narrows, Bitcoin (BTC) has slipped below the $70,000 mark, trading at $68,500, down nearly 0.50% over the last 24 hours. With both candidates generating polarized support, the outcome is anticipated to have a significant impact on the cryptocurrency market.
A potential Trump victory is viewed by many as a bullish scenario for Bitcoin, given his previous administration’s relatively hands-off stance toward regulation.
Conversely, a Harris win could signal increased regulatory scrutiny, potentially putting downward pressure on BTC.
Election Odds Show 61.1% Trump Lead—Could a Win Spark Crypto Market Rally
Based on the latest prediction data, former President Donald Trump holds a strong lead with a 61.1% chance of winning the 2024 U.S. presidential election, while Kamala Harris trails with a 38.9% probability.
The prediction market platform Polymarket shows significant volumes of trading, with over $1.27 billion staked on Trump and about $804 million on Harris, highlighting the intense public interest and market confidence in the outcome.
Why the Election Matters for Bitcoin Prices
Bitcoin’s recent dip aligns with increasing election uncertainty. Market participants are closely watching the impact of a Harris or Trump win on regulatory policy and economic outlooks.
Historically, the Trump administration favored a laissez-faire approach to crypto, which some analysts argue could fuel BTC gains if he secures another term.
On the other hand, a Harris administration might be more inclined toward regulatory oversight, which could introduce challenges for the cryptocurrency.
With the U.S. dollar also strengthening as a safe-haven asset amid election uncertainty, Bitcoin’s appeal as a hedge against economic instability appears muted for now.
Additionally, the Federal Reserve’s upcoming policy decisions add another layer of complexity, with potential rate cuts that could further influence the dollar and Bitcoin.
Bitcoin’s Technical Outlook: Key Levels to Watch
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is currently in a consolidation phase with a descending trendline capping price action. Immediate resistance lies at $69,233, with stronger levels at $70,137 and $71,580.
Breaking these levels could mark the start of a renewed uptrend, supported by a recent bullish engulfing candle.
However, BTC faces immediate support at $68,200, with additional layers at $67,451 and $66,806. The 50-day EMA at $68,898 is acting as a resistance, limiting upward movement.
A break below $68,200 would suggest further declines, while a sustained move above $69,233 could shift sentiment bullishly.
Key Insights:
- Support at $68,200 could stabilize BTC, with further layers at $67,451.
- Resistance levels at $69,233 and $70,137; a breakout could renew upward momentum.
- Election outcome and Fed policy decisions are key drivers of BTC’s near-term trend.
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Disclaimer: Crypto is a high-risk asset class. This article is provided for informational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. You could lose all of your capital.
